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  • The US Capitol beneath a chart of Democratic and Republican seats, captioned “US 2026: Congress · President · Midterms”

    Report

    Congress and the 2026 Midterm Elections in the US: The President’s Limits under Divided Government

    In the midterm elections held on 3 November 2026, whose results became clear on 4 November, the Democratic Party won a majority in both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Republican President Donald Trump will thus enter the last two years of his term with a Congress in which both chambers of the legislature are controlled by the opposition…

    Prof. Cafer Tayyar Arı

  • An elderly ultra-Orthodox man casting his vote, beside a crowd of Haredi men

    Report

    2026 Knesset Election: A Victory for the Radical Right Electorate in Israel?

    In the Knesset election of 27 October 2026, the Netanyahu bloc failed to reach a 61-seat majority. This result, however, does not mean that the radical right has declined in Israel. Provisional results show that right-wing, religious Zionist and ultra-Orthodox parties have reached 60 seats, half of the Knesset. Lists headed…

    Prof. Veysel Ayhan

  • Collage of Karabakh maps, the TRIPP route, an Azerbaijani military convoy, road construction and Azerbaijani and Armenian officials

    Analysis

    From Conflict to Institutional Peace in the Caucasus: The Resolution of the Karabakh Question and Zangezur Corridor Diplomacy

    This study offers a holistic analysis of the new regional peace architecture that has taken shape in the South Caucasus after the military phase of the thirty-five-year Karabakh conflict, within the framework of John Paul Lederach’s theoretical model of “conflict transformation” and Barbara F. Walter’s models of the “commitment problem” and “third-party institutional…

    Dr Ömer Çağrı Tecer

  • Hobby gardens, families gardening, Ankara’s skyline and survey charts

    Research

    Public Opinion Survey on Hobby Gardens in Ankara

    This survey was conducted in order to reveal public perceptions of hobby gardens, which have been intensely debated in Ankara in recent years, assessments of the current demolition and penalty practices, expectations of a solution and the political effects of the issue. Within the scope of the survey…

    SESA Institute

  • Collage of scenes from Lebanon, regional leaders and a map

    Analysis

    Between Sovereignty and the Requirements of the Present Moment in Lebanon: The State’s Struggle with Internal Pressures and Regional Conflicts

    Lebanon has entered an extremely delicate period that may determine its political and security future in the years ahead. The issue is no longer merely the border tension with Israel or the technical negotiations surrounding the ceasefire. The problem concerns the essence of the state: in Lebanon…

    Dr Gülşen Y. Sağlam

  • Collage of Turkish officials, an industrial skyline and a financial district

    Interview

    The Effects of the Israel–US and Iran War on Türkiye: Flight to a Safe Haven and the Potential to Become an International Financial Centre

    In the current conjuncture, in which regional geopolitical tensions are deepening, the possible repercussions for Türkiye of the war centred on Israel–US and Iran emerge as an issue that must be analysed carefully not only in the context of foreign policy and security but also in terms of economic policy, public finance, the financial system, logistics infrastructure and institutional capacity…

    Prof. H. Hakan Yılmaz

  • Collage of meetings between Chinese, Turkish and Iranian leaders and a Belt and Road map

    Analysis

    China’s Approach to the Middle East Crisis in the Context of the Iran War, and Relations with Türkiye

    The US and Israeli attacks on Iran on 28 February 2026 significantly affected China, which has deep strategic and economic relations with the countries of the Middle East. At the start of the war, the Beijing administration pursued a cautious policy that criticised the military intervention, emphasised calls for a diplomatic solution and…

    Yener Yılmaz and Sinem Topçu

  • Collage of Donald Trump, Iranian leaders, soldiers and a world map

    Analysis

    Trump’s Iran Policy and the Transformation of American Hegemony

    The present-day global role of the US can be regarded as a process of transition between hegemony and empire. Trump’s foreign policy priorities, however, indicate that this transition is increasingly deepening in favour of empire. This affects not only the structure of the international system but also…

    Prof. Veysel Ayhan

  • Collage of a Gulf map, UAE and Iranian leaders and soldiers

    Interview

    Towards an Iran–UAE War in the Persian Gulf?

    Following the simultaneous US and Israeli attacks on Iran on 28 February, the Tehran administration did not confine the conflict to the Israeli front alone; it turned to a large-scale military strategy in the Persian Gulf directly targeting the Gulf countries. Between 28 February and 26 March, the attacks carried out on the Gulf…

    Prof. Veysel Ayhan

  • Collage of a Qur’an, ancient reliefs, a Roman statue and a menorah

    Analysis

    Surat al-Isra – Fasad and Uluw

    Throughout history, the fall of societies, as much as their rise, has been the result of a socio-political cycle woven from divine laws. The Qur’an expresses this universal principle through the concept of sunnatullah. In the view of the Qur’an, the destiny of societies is shaped not by chance but by the immutable laws of Allah; throughout human history…

    Halit Çokan

  • Fighter jet, missile launchers, an interceptor launch and NATO flags

    Analysis

    NATO Missile Shield and Its Impact on Turkish Foreign Policy

    The incorporation of missile defence into collective defence at NATO’s 2010 Lisbon Summit and the deployment of the AN/TPY-2 early warning radar at Kürecik, Malatya in 2011 strengthened Türkiye’s role within NATO’s security architecture while at the same time creating a new…

    Dr Kemal Kaya

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