Is Israeli Aggression a Threat to Türkiye?

Introduction

From Türkiye’s perspective, it can be said that Israel’s potential to pose a direct military threat to Türkiye on its own is weak. Türkiye’s geographical size, its population and the military technology it possesses, as well as its military alliances and geopolitical depth, cause Israel to refrain from entering into a direct military conflict with Türkiye. In carrying out threat and security risk analyses, however, many unknowns need to be analysed, such as Israel’s attempts to spread the war across the region, comprehensive conflicts involving Syria, Iraq and Iran, mass migration, border changes, the threat of nuclear weapons, ethnic and sectarian conflicts leading to border changes, and new moves towards occupation by the US and the West. In this context, it must be underlined that Israeli aggression poses a security risk to Türkiye in many respects.